Concerns are emerging over the opposition National Unity Platform’s (NUP) ability to mount a strong campaign in the Kalangala District Woman Member of Parliament by-election, with journalist Simon Kaggwa Njala arguing that the political and logistical conditions may be working against the party.
The by-election, set for June 24, 2026, was called after the death of former MP Hellen Nakimuli, opening a tightly contested race between NUP, the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM), and independent candidates.
In his assessment of the unfolding contest, Njala outlined what he described as structural and political disadvantages facing NUP. He pointed to the absence of party leader Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu, arguing that his lack of presence on the campaign trail has affected mobilisation momentum.
He further cited financial constraints within the party, stating that limited resources are restricting campaign reach in the island district, where logistics and transportation costs are relatively high due to its geography.
Njala also pointed to what he described as reduced enthusiasm from allied “forces of change,” suggesting that coordination among opposition-aligned groups has been inconsistent during the campaign period.
He added that state structures and political influence in the area may also be shaping the competitive environment.
Voter apathy, he noted, remains another concern, especially in local by-elections where turnout has historically been lower compared to general elections.
This, he argued, could significantly influence the final outcome depending on which side manages to mobilise effectively on polling day.
The journalist also highlighted the role of independent candidates, some of whom were previously aligned with NUP support bases, potentially splitting the opposition vote in a tightly contested race.
The NUP flag bearer in the contest, Irene Nampala, is facing competition from Aidah Nabayiga of the NRM and independent candidate Flavia Nagawa, among others, in what is shaping up to be a competitive political showdown.
The Electoral Commission has maintained that campaigns must remain peaceful and within legal boundaries as parties intensify last-minute mobilisation efforts ahead of voting day.
Njala’s question reflects a broader uncertainty within the race: whether NUP’s grassroots-driven “People Power” strategy can withstand financial constraints, organisational challenges, and state-backed political machinery in a critical island constituency.